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UBC Theses and Dissertations

Vulnerability and risk analysis of the Guadeloupe Island for disaster scenarios using the modified I2SIM toolbox Wang, Justin


Relationships between system components can be simple but interdependencies among different systems can sometimes be complex. Interdependencies among systems are the purpose of the I2Sim simulator developed by Dr. José R Martí and the UBC Power Group. As part of this thesis, the I2Sim simulator is used to conduct vulnerabilities and risks analysis for two different test cases in the event of a disaster: The Sendai case in Japan and the Guadeloupe Island case in the French West Indies. The two study cases are part of two separate projects: the DR-NEP project and the MATRIX project, respectively. With the completion of the Sendai study case there was a need to modify the I2Sim toolbox in order to increase its robustness and the flexibilities of its components. A major part of this thesis is the modification of the channel cell and the storage cell in the I2Sim toolbox. The Guadeloupe Island test case is part of a collaborative effort with BRGM of France. In order to define a disaster scenario that is meaningful and realistic we adopted the ARMAGEDOM methodology to determine the magnitude of the earthquake and the effect it had on different areas of the Island. Damage data for infrastructures as well as affected population are generated according to the approach outlined in the RISK-UE project. Combined with data collected through publications the I2Sim model of the Guadeloupe Island was constructed. By running different simulations for different evacuation policies and resource distributions the interdependencies between different systems were revealed. The study also found the vulnerable points in the system and the results are used for risks analysis and assessments for other parts of the project.

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