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Studying HPV vaccination and infection through a simplified stochastic model Illing, Hannah; Porter, Imogen
Abstract
While HPV vaccination has been modelled through deterministic and STDSIM models, the use of stochastic models remains relatively low. We developed a unique individual based stochastic model for the spread of HPV in a group of individuals from the ages 15-30 in order to investigate and measure the effects of vaccination scenarios on infection rates, overall immunity, and response to outbreaks. This was done by measuring the number of infected and immune individuals over time, with standard deviations providing indication of predictability. Vaccinating solely females produced marginally higher acquired immunity effects than vaccinating both sexes which resulted in less variability in the frequency of infected individuals. The results of the study support the hypothesis that increasing vaccination rates would decrease HPV prevalence.
Item Metadata
Title |
Studying HPV vaccination and infection through a simplified stochastic model
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Creator | |
Date Issued |
2021-06-25
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Description |
While HPV vaccination has been modelled through deterministic and STDSIM models, the use of
stochastic models remains relatively low. We developed a unique individual based stochastic model for
the spread of HPV in a group of individuals from the ages 15-30 in order to investigate and measure the
effects of vaccination scenarios on infection rates, overall immunity, and response to outbreaks. This was
done by measuring the number of infected and immune individuals over time, with standard deviations
providing indication of predictability. Vaccinating solely females produced marginally higher acquired
immunity effects than vaccinating both sexes which resulted in less variability in the frequency of
infected individuals. The results of the study support the hypothesis that increasing vaccination rates
would decrease HPV prevalence.
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Genre | |
Type | |
Language |
eng
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Series | |
Date Available |
2021-06-14
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Provider |
Vancouver : University of British Columbia Library
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Rights |
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
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DOI |
10.14288/1.0398356
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URI | |
Affiliation | |
Peer Review Status |
Unreviewed
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Scholarly Level |
Undergraduate
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Rights URI | |
Aggregated Source Repository |
DSpace
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Rights
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International