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UBC Theses and Dissertations
Export instability and political violence in underdeveloped countries Moul, William Brian
Abstract
There have been few attempts to empirically delineate and assess the importance of "external" or "international" factors in the study of comparative politics and political development. The purpose of this thesis is to examine an "international-national linkage" which has been the subject of Considerable speculation butressed with anecdotal evidence. The linkage is between the short term instability of export proceeds of underdeveloped countries and the amount of political violence with in these countries. The independent variables are export instability, export losses, export instability impact, and the impact of export losses. In the first section of the thesis, the external nature of export instability is discussed. Export instability is not always induced externally. The evidence linking export in stability to domestic economic disturbances and economic disturbances to political violence is presented and discussed in the next section. Domestic economic disturbance is an unmeasured intervening variable in this study. There are many methods of computing the instability of export proceeds. Percentage deviations from annual trend values are used in this thesis, with the trend values computed using five year moving averages. The data sources and various measures of political violence available are assessed in terms of validity and reliability. A composite index of "the total magnitude of civil strife," developed by Gurr and Ruttenberg, is used to measure the amount of political violence. The results of across-sectional correlation analysis for a sample of forty-seven underdeveloped countries indicate zero relationships between the four independent variables and political violence. A lack of covariation within the total sample may obscure significant correlations of opposite sign within specified subsamples. Accordingly, the sample is subdivided into three relatively homogeneous socio-economic regions and four political system types. The extent and direction of the relationships does vary according to region and type of political system. The variation is not large.
Item Metadata
Title |
Export instability and political violence in underdeveloped countries
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Creator | |
Publisher |
University of British Columbia
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Date Issued |
1971
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Description |
There have been few attempts to empirically delineate
and assess the importance of "external" or "international"
factors in the study of comparative politics and political
development. The purpose of this thesis is to examine an
"international-national linkage" which has been the subject of
Considerable speculation butressed with anecdotal evidence.
The linkage is between the short term instability of export
proceeds of underdeveloped countries and the amount of political violence with in these countries. The independent variables
are export instability, export losses, export instability impact,
and the impact of export losses.
In the first section of the thesis, the external nature
of export instability is discussed. Export instability is not
always induced externally. The evidence linking export in stability to domestic economic disturbances and economic disturbances
to political violence is presented and discussed in the
next section. Domestic economic disturbance is an unmeasured
intervening variable in this study.
There are many methods of computing the instability
of export proceeds. Percentage deviations from annual trend
values are used in this thesis, with the trend values computed
using five year moving averages. The data sources and various
measures of political violence available are assessed in terms
of validity and reliability. A composite index of "the total
magnitude of civil strife," developed by Gurr and Ruttenberg,
is used to measure the amount of political violence. The results of across-sectional correlation analysis
for a sample of forty-seven underdeveloped countries indicate
zero relationships between the four independent variables and
political violence.
A lack of covariation within the total sample may
obscure significant correlations of opposite sign within specified subsamples. Accordingly, the sample is subdivided into
three relatively homogeneous socio-economic regions and four
political system types. The extent and direction of the relationships does vary according to region and type of political
system. The variation is not large.
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Genre | |
Type | |
Language |
eng
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Date Available |
2012-03-29
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Provider |
Vancouver : University of British Columbia Library
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Rights |
For non-commercial purposes only, such as research, private study and education. Additional conditions apply, see Terms of Use https://open.library.ubc.ca/terms_of_use.
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DOI |
10.14288/1.0107071
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URI | |
Degree | |
Program | |
Affiliation | |
Degree Grantor |
University of British Columbia
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Campus | |
Scholarly Level |
Graduate
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Aggregated Source Repository |
DSpace
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Item Media
Item Citations and Data
Rights
For non-commercial purposes only, such as research, private study and education. Additional conditions apply, see Terms of Use https://open.library.ubc.ca/terms_of_use.