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UBC Theses and Dissertations

Possible economic consequences of air pollution on timber markets in certain European countries Kurtz, Heinz Frieder

Abstract

Traditional forest devastations in the Federal Republic of Germany (FRG) have in the past resulted in trade restrictions and price declines. The recent dieback problem in the FRG will result in a high quantity of salvage which will occur not only once but throughout several successive years. The situation in neighbouring countries is similar which will increase the problem for the FRG. Forest industries in dieback-affected countries will be able to increase roundwood consumption and exports. An aggravated dieback problem will result in price declines of forest products and/or trade restrictions. The planned implementation of trade restrictions by the European Economic Community (EEC) and/or the FRG due to dieback will be contrary to the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). Price declines and/or trade restrictions will affect Canadian exporters through reduction of exports to Europe. Canadian exports to other world markets may also be reduced due to increased competition by European exporters and former exporters to the European market.

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