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UBC Theses and Dissertations

Stochastic models of travel-demand behaviour : a comparison of three disaggregate model forms using incomplete data Kahkeshan, Siavoche


This thesis is concerned with calibrating a behavioural travel demand model by adjustment of an incomplete data base and applying it to three statistical methods: Logit, Probit and Discriminant Analysis, comparing the forecasting ability of each of the models and analysing the responsiveness of decision variables to potential changes in the urban transportation system. In this research, the current state of the art is indicated and the mathematical structure of the models are discussed. Attempts are also made to determine the value of time for the Vancouver Population as a means of estimating the validity of the model calibration, and also to discuss the results in transportation policy terms.

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