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Historical trends in cranberry pest abundances and their dependence on temperature Wang, Kelly Chan
Abstract
Pest monitoring is crucial for early pest detection so that growers can engage in effective crop protection and management actions. Insect pest levels and crop losses are expected to rise alongside a warming climate. However, the effects may be species dependent, affecting our ability to generalize crop-specific risks. Canada is the second largest producer of cultivated cranberries (Vaccinium macrocarpon) globally, with British Columbia (BC) and Quebec accounting for approximately 95% of the Canadian market. The blackheaded fireworm (Rhopobota naevana) is a major cranberry pest and has a long monitoring history in BC by integrated pest management (IPM) practitioners. In this study, I first examined whether daily minimum temperature and accumulated degree days (ADD, daily temperature gained overtime) for R. naevana increased during the study in the Lower Mainland of BC (1991 – 2020). Then, I aggregated 30 years of long-term IPM monitoring data from various cranberry farms and climate records to determine associations between the ecology of R. naevana and temperature. Specifically, I examined whether ADD influenced the date of initial emergence time, abundance of emerging larvae, and the date growers first sprayed to control R. naevana. Annual ADD and daily minimum temperature, as measured by regional weather stations, did not increase during the duration of the study, although there were clear periods of high and low temperatures associated with the timing of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. I did not detect an association between ADD and date of initial emergence. However, ADD was associated with emerging larvae abundance and first spray date. Warmer years with higher ADD could lead to higher spring larvae emergence and delayed first spray date. The high variability in the dataset due to differences in farms surveyed within and across years, the limited resolution of weather stations, and the potential for sampling error and observer bias within a multi-year data set could limit our ability to adequately detect some temperature driven effects. Longitudinal observations from the same set of cranberry farms over several years would likely reduce sources of external variation and help to further our understanding of the relationships between pest outbreaks, climate, and ecosystem interactions.
Item Metadata
Title |
Historical trends in cranberry pest abundances and their dependence on temperature
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Creator | |
Supervisor | |
Publisher |
University of British Columbia
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Date Issued |
2024
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Description |
Pest monitoring is crucial for early pest detection so that growers can engage in effective crop protection and management actions. Insect pest levels and crop losses are expected to rise alongside a warming climate. However, the effects may be species dependent, affecting our ability to generalize crop-specific risks. Canada is the second largest producer of cultivated cranberries (Vaccinium macrocarpon) globally, with British Columbia (BC) and Quebec accounting for approximately 95% of the Canadian market. The blackheaded fireworm (Rhopobota naevana) is a major cranberry pest and has a long monitoring history in BC by integrated pest management (IPM) practitioners. In this study, I first examined whether daily minimum temperature and accumulated degree days (ADD, daily temperature gained overtime) for R. naevana increased during the study in the Lower Mainland of BC (1991 – 2020). Then, I aggregated 30 years of long-term IPM monitoring data from various cranberry farms and climate records to determine associations between the ecology of R. naevana and temperature. Specifically, I examined whether ADD influenced the date of initial emergence time, abundance of emerging larvae, and the date growers first sprayed to control R. naevana.
Annual ADD and daily minimum temperature, as measured by regional weather stations, did not increase during the duration of the study, although there were clear periods of high and low temperatures associated with the timing of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. I did not detect an association between ADD and date of initial emergence. However, ADD was associated with emerging larvae abundance and first spray date. Warmer years with higher ADD could lead to higher spring larvae emergence and delayed first spray date. The high variability in the dataset due to differences in farms surveyed within and across years, the limited resolution of weather stations, and the potential for sampling error and observer bias within a multi-year data set could limit our ability to adequately detect some temperature driven effects. Longitudinal observations from the same set of cranberry farms over several years would likely reduce sources of external variation and help to further our understanding of the relationships between pest outbreaks, climate, and ecosystem interactions.
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Genre | |
Type | |
Language |
eng
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Date Available |
2024-07-11
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Provider |
Vancouver : University of British Columbia Library
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Rights |
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
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DOI |
10.14288/1.0444135
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URI | |
Degree | |
Program | |
Affiliation | |
Degree Grantor |
University of British Columbia
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Graduation Date |
2024-11
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Campus | |
Scholarly Level |
Graduate
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Rights URI | |
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Rights
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International