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Using random simulation of hurricane tracks for risk analysis

International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability (12th : 2015 : Vancouver, B.C.)

This paper illustrates a simulation approach to hurricane tracks. The procedure implemented was taken from existing literature and applied to storms recorded in the IBTrACS dataset. The results obtained are encouraging: the variables currently simulated, primarily locations of hurricane genesis, track propagation and locations of decay, are in general agreement with results available in the literature and with the historical data. Further improvements of the present work are however needed with respect to a number of metrics particularly relevant for risk assessment.

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This collection contains the proceedings of ICASP12, the 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering held in Vancouver, Canada on July 12-15, 2015. Abstracts were peer-reviewed and authors of accepted abstracts were invited to submit full papers. Also full papers were peer reviewed. The editor for this collection is Professor Terje Haukaas, Department of Civil Engineering, UBC Vancouver.

Vancouver : University of British Columbia Library

10.14288/1.0076270

Non UBC

Unreviewed

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ca/