International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP) (12th : 2015)

Life-cycle maintenance, monitoring, and inspection optimization for ship structures under uncertainty Soliman, Mohamed; Frangopol, Dan M.; Mondoro, Alysson


This paper presents a probabilistic optimization approach for scheduling inspections, monitoring, and maintenance actions along the life-cycle of ships under fatigue deterioration. The optimization approach yields the optimum interventions times and types that facilitate the minimization of expected life-cycle maintenance and inspection cost, maximization of expected service life, and minimization of expected failure cost. Uncertainties associated with the performance prediction, service life estimation with and without maintenance, and the relationship between the degree of damage and the probability of damage detection are considered in the proposed approach. Computing the life-cycle cost, failure cost, and service life is based on an event tree model which takes into consideration the different outcomes of inspection and monitoring actions. The proposed approach is applied to a ship structure under fatigue deterioration.

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