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International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP) (12th : 2015)
Statistical investigation of extreme weather conditions Proske, D.
Abstract
Structures are exposed to an ensemble of natural hazards. Earthquakes and flooding’s are the most recognized natural hazards, but structures also have to be safe under extreme weather conditions such wind and hurricanes, heat periods and colds, extreme rainfalls, hail and freezing rain. Some of this hazards are usually not investigated in detail, however based on statistical investigations, hazard curves and representative values of hazards can be defined, if required. They can be applied in probabilistic computations to achieve the probability of failure of the structures. Although major efforts have been undertaken in recent years to estimate the hazards and the representative values, we have to notice, that the validity of the provided natural hazards estimations by means of statistical investigations is limited due to confined sample populations. One of this causes is the recently increased knowledge using data with extreme values from non-instrumental periods, which heavily influences the outcome of the statistics, if considered. Newer statistical methods and the inclusion of historical data can, but need not necessarily improve results under all conditions. This development has also been observed in seismic loading estimation and in flooding hazard prognosis.
Item Metadata
Title |
Statistical investigation of extreme weather conditions
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Creator | |
Contributor | |
Date Issued |
2015-07
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Description |
Structures are exposed to an ensemble of natural hazards. Earthquakes and flooding’s are
the most recognized natural hazards, but structures also have to be safe under extreme weather conditions
such wind and hurricanes, heat periods and colds, extreme rainfalls, hail and freezing rain. Some
of this hazards are usually not investigated in detail, however based on statistical investigations, hazard
curves and representative values of hazards can be defined, if required. They can be applied in probabilistic
computations to achieve the probability of failure of the structures. Although major efforts have
been undertaken in recent years to estimate the hazards and the representative values, we have to notice,
that the validity of the provided natural hazards estimations by means of statistical investigations
is limited due to confined sample populations. One of this causes is the recently increased knowledge
using data with extreme values from non-instrumental periods, which heavily influences the outcome
of the statistics, if considered. Newer statistical methods and the inclusion of historical data can, but
need not necessarily improve results under all conditions. This development has also been observed in
seismic loading estimation and in flooding hazard prognosis.
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Genre | |
Type | |
Language |
eng
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Notes |
This collection contains the proceedings of ICASP12, the 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering held in Vancouver, Canada on July 12-15, 2015. Abstracts were peer-reviewed and authors of accepted abstracts were invited to submit full papers. Also full papers were peer reviewed. The editor for this collection is Professor Terje Haukaas, Department of Civil Engineering, UBC Vancouver.
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Date Available |
2015-05-22
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Provider |
Vancouver : University of British Columbia Library
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Rights |
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 2.5 Canada
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DOI |
10.14288/1.0076220
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URI | |
Affiliation | |
Citation |
Haukaas, T. (Ed.) (2015). Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP12), Vancouver, Canada, July 12-15.
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Peer Review Status |
Unreviewed
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Scholarly Level |
Other
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Rights URI | |
Aggregated Source Repository |
DSpace
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Item Citations and Data
Rights
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 2.5 Canada