International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP) (12th : 2015)

Integrated spatial community resilience decision tool unifying social vulnerability indices and relative sea-level rise predictions Francis, Royce A.; Esfandiary, Siamak


Infrastructure resilience and social resilience have been independently investigated, but have not yet been integrated in the evaluation of preparedness and natural hazard response investments. In this paper, we present an integrated spatial evaluation of vulnerability to relative sea level rise in the US states of Delaware, Maryland, and Virginia. This paper is motivated by the notion that there may be an interaction between community resilience measured by social indicators and community resilience measured by technical vulnerability indicators. We evaluate this hypothesis by creating a decision support tool integrating relative sea level rise (RSLR) and social vulnerability index (SoVI) for those communities delineated by county. These results will be useful to policy makers by explicitly communicating the tradeoffs between SoVI and technical vulnerability, while also illustrating the potential for prioritizing regions based on the interaction between social resilience and infrastructure resilience.

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