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Predictive validity of TOEFL scores on first term’s GPA as the criterion for international exchange students Yan, Zheng
Abstract
The Test of English as a Foreign Language (TOEFL) has been used in making admission decisions for over 30 years; however, the predictive validity of the test has been uncertain. The present study was intended to investigate the predictive validity of TOEFL scores on first term's grade point average (GPA). Participants were 97 second-year university students, 46 male and 52 female, in an international academic exchange program. Most majored in Humanities and Social Sciences. The predictor variables in the study included TOEFL total scores, TOEFL section I scores, TOEFL section II scores, TOEFL section III scores, oral proficiency interview scores, writing sample scores, and gender. First term's GPA was the criterion variable. The data were analyzed by multiple regression analysis with a hierarchical procedure. The results were interpreted on the basis of Cohen's (1988) conventional definitions on the effect size of R². The main findings of the study indicate that: (a) TOEFL total scores have a medium level of predictive validity on GPA (ΔR²=.142, ϱ<.001); (b) TOEFL section I scores have a medium level of predictive validity (ΔR²=.044, ϱ<.05); (c) TOEFL section II scores have a medium level of predictive validity (ΔR²=.112, ϱ<.001); (d) TOEFL section III scores have a negligible level of predictive validity (ΔR² =.005, ϱ>.05); (e) Oral proficiency interviews scores have a negligible level of predictive validity (ΔR² =.010, ϱ>.05); (f) Writing samples scores have a small level of predictive validity (ΔR² =.047, ϱ<.05); And (g) gender has a medium level of predictive validity (ΔR² =.130, ϱ<.001). The findings of the study thus validate the use of TOEFL scores as one of the requirements for admission in the international exchange program and provide new empirical evidence for investigation of the relationship between language proficiency and academic achievement.
Item Metadata
Title |
Predictive validity of TOEFL scores on first term’s GPA as the criterion for international exchange students
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Creator | |
Publisher |
University of British Columbia
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Date Issued |
1995
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Description |
The Test of English as a Foreign Language (TOEFL)
has been used in making admission decisions for over 30
years; however, the predictive validity of the test has
been uncertain. The present study was intended to
investigate the predictive validity of TOEFL scores on
first term's grade point average (GPA). Participants
were 97 second-year university students, 46 male and 52
female, in an international academic exchange program.
Most majored in Humanities and Social Sciences. The
predictor variables in the study included TOEFL total
scores, TOEFL section I scores, TOEFL section II
scores, TOEFL section III scores, oral proficiency
interview scores, writing sample scores, and gender.
First term's GPA was the criterion variable. The data
were analyzed by multiple regression analysis with a
hierarchical procedure. The results were interpreted on
the basis of Cohen's (1988) conventional definitions on
the effect size of R².
The main findings of the study indicate that: (a) TOEFL
total scores have a medium level of predictive validity on
GPA (ΔR²=.142, ϱ<.001); (b) TOEFL section I scores have a
medium level of predictive validity (ΔR²=.044, ϱ<.05); (c)
TOEFL section II scores have a medium level of predictive
validity (ΔR²=.112, ϱ<.001); (d) TOEFL section III scores
have a negligible level of predictive validity (ΔR² =.005, ϱ>.05); (e) Oral proficiency interviews scores have a
negligible level of predictive validity (ΔR² =.010, ϱ>.05);
(f) Writing samples scores have a small level of predictive
validity (ΔR² =.047, ϱ<.05); And (g) gender has a medium
level of predictive validity (ΔR² =.130, ϱ<.001). The
findings of the study thus validate the use of TOEFL scores
as one of the requirements for admission in the
international exchange program and provide new empirical
evidence for investigation of the relationship between
language proficiency and academic achievement.
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Extent |
4362341 bytes
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Genre | |
Type | |
File Format |
application/pdf
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Language |
eng
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Date Available |
2009-01-26
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Provider |
Vancouver : University of British Columbia Library
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Rights |
For non-commercial purposes only, such as research, private study and education. Additional conditions apply, see Terms of Use https://open.library.ubc.ca/terms_of_use.
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DOI |
10.14288/1.0078086
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URI | |
Degree | |
Program | |
Affiliation | |
Degree Grantor |
University of British Columbia
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Graduation Date |
1995-11
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Campus | |
Scholarly Level |
Graduate
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Aggregated Source Repository |
DSpace
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Item Media
Item Citations and Data
Rights
For non-commercial purposes only, such as research, private study and education. Additional conditions apply, see Terms of Use https://open.library.ubc.ca/terms_of_use.