UBC Theses and Dissertations

UBC Theses Logo

UBC Theses and Dissertations

Evaluating the dynamics of Douglas-fir beetle populations in coastal forests Tobiasz, Anna

Abstract

North Pacific coastal temperate rainforests are important for carbon sequestration, biodiversity, ecosystem services, and provision of economic revenue through eco-tourism and resource extraction. Historically, disturbances in these forests occur at the scale of individual trees but may affect entire stands. Douglas-fir beetle (Drendoctonus pseudotsugae) is a major mortality agent of coastal Douglas-fir (Pseudotsugae menziesii var. menziesii), a predominant tree species within these temperate rainforests. Douglas-fir beetle is thought to exhibit pulse-driven population dynamics, whereby densities are determined by the availability of stressed, defensively impaired trees. By contrast, threshold-limited bark beetle species undergo density-dependent shifts in colonization behaviour and will preferentially colonize healthy trees when populations exceed a critical density. Climate change is likely to increase resource pulses through increased frequency, intensity, and severity of stress inducing events such as droughts and windstorms. I evaluated the pulse-driven dynamic of Douglas-fir beetle in coastal forests by testing the hypothesis that host-tree preference is not density dependent. Using a random forest modelling approach, I investigated forest conditions associated with endemic and epidemic Douglas-fir beetle presence within coastal Douglas-fir forests and compared the two models to quantify changes in host selection. I found the variables that affected low-density (endemic) and high-density (epidemic) beetle populations, and the form of their influence, were the same; however, the order of variable importance differed between the two populations rejecting the hypothesis that DFB does not exhibit density-dependent host selection behaviours. Endemic populations were associated with stands with high proportions of large Douglas-fir trees, dense stands relative to their age and slow growth rates. In contrast, epidemic populations following a catastrophic windstorm were driven by stand height and elevation. This nuanced yet distinct density-dependent shift in host selection behaviour challenges the current pulse-driven and threshold-limited dichotomy, suggesting host-tree preferences may exist on a spectrum for pulse-driven species. Forest management practices have altered species composition and successional patterns of coastal forests creating vulnerabilities during resource pulses to future outbreaks. Understanding population dynamics of Douglas-fir beetle equips land managers with the information to engage in proactive forest management practices to reduce risk and impacts from future outbreaks.

Item Media

Item Citations and Data

Rights

Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International