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Abstract

Background: Minimally invasive cardiac surgery (MICS) via right minithoracotomy is a safe, reproducible approach with excellent outcomes and reduced costs compared to median sternotomy. Despite careful patient selection, conversion to sternotomy occurs in 1–3% of cases and is associated with significantly higher morbidity and mortality. Small body habitus, particularly a short anteroposterior (AP) diameter, may increase the risk of conversion, but this has not been previously studied. This study aims to identify preoperative factors associated with conversion to improve patient selection for MICS. As cardiovascular surgery becomes increasingly personalized, identifying anatomical factors that predict technical complexity is essential. Methods: This retrospective study included 254 adult patients who underwent elective MICS between 2015 and 2024 at a tertiary hospital. Patient characteristics, computed tomography (CT) scans, intraoperative parameters, and postoperative outcomes were reviewed. AP diameter was defined as the distance from the posterior sternum to the anterior vertebral body at the mitral valve level on CT. Statistical analyses included Mann−Whitney and Fisher’s exact/chi-square tests. Results: Conversion to sternotomy occurred in 1.6% of patients (n = 4). All converted patients were female. The converted group had a significantly shorter median AP diameter (100 mm vs. 124 mm, p = 0.020). Conversion was associated with higher rates of stroke and infection (25.0% vs. 0.8%, p = 0.047 for both), but no significant differences in hospital stay, bleeding, or renal failure. Conclusions: An AP diameter of less than 100 mm was associated with a higher risk of conversion to sternotomy in MICS. Incorporating simple, reproducible preoperative imaging metrics into surgical planning may advance precision-guided cardiac surgery and optimize patient outcomes.