BIRS Workshop Lecture Videos

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BIRS Workshop Lecture Videos

Environmental forecasting and human-environmental dynamics Tilman, Andrew

Description

Eco-evolutionary game theory provides a framework for the analysis of human-environmental dynamics. In an eco-evolutionary game, strategies of individuals impact the environment and the state of the environment alters the payoff structure that individuals face, generating feedback. This feedback can lead to persistent cyclical environmental overshoot. In the model of eco-evolutionary games that I will present, we examine the impact of environmental forecasting on cyclic human-environmental dynamics. We find that if individuals make forecasts of the environment and integrate these forecasts into their strategy updating process, environmental stability can be achieved. Next, I will share a model of competition between forecasting and non-forecasting types in a human-environmental system to explore whether forecasting types can invade and generate environmental stability. Coauthors: Vitor Vasconcelos, Erol Akcay, Joshua Plotkin

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Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International