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Environmental forecasting and human-environmental dynamics Tilman, Andrew
Description
Eco-evolutionary game theory provides a framework for the analysis of human-environmental dynamics. In an eco-evolutionary game, strategies of individuals impact the environment and the state of the environment alters the payoff structure that individuals face, generating feedback. This feedback can lead to persistent cyclical environmental overshoot. In the model of eco-evolutionary games that I will present, we examine the impact of environmental forecasting on cyclic human-environmental dynamics. We find that if individuals make forecasts of the environment and integrate these forecasts into their strategy updating process, environmental stability can be achieved. Next, I will share a model of competition between forecasting and non-forecasting types in a human-environmental system to explore whether forecasting types can invade and generate environmental stability. Coauthors: Vitor Vasconcelos, Erol Akcay, Joshua Plotkin
Item Metadata
Title |
Environmental forecasting and human-environmental dynamics
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Creator | |
Publisher |
Banff International Research Station for Mathematical Innovation and Discovery
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Date Issued |
2021-01-27T15:08
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Description |
Eco-evolutionary game theory provides a framework for the analysis of human-environmental dynamics. In an eco-evolutionary game, strategies of individuals impact the environment and the state of the environment alters the payoff structure that individuals face, generating feedback. This feedback can lead to persistent cyclical environmental overshoot. In the model of eco-evolutionary games that I will present, we examine the impact of environmental forecasting on cyclic human-environmental dynamics. We find that if individuals make forecasts of the environment and integrate these forecasts into their strategy updating process, environmental stability can be achieved. Next, I will share a model of competition between forecasting and non-forecasting types in a human-environmental system to explore whether forecasting types can invade and generate environmental stability.
Coauthors: Vitor Vasconcelos, Erol Akcay, Joshua Plotkin
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Extent |
55.0 minutes
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Subject | |
Type | |
File Format |
video/mp4
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Language |
eng
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Notes |
Author affiliation: University of Pennsylvania
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Series | |
Date Available |
2021-07-27
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Provider |
Vancouver : University of British Columbia Library
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Rights |
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
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DOI |
10.14288/1.0400914
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URI | |
Affiliation | |
Peer Review Status |
Unreviewed
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Scholarly Level |
Postdoctoral
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Rights URI | |
Aggregated Source Repository |
DSpace
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Item Media
Item Citations and Data
Rights
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International