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"Dice"-sion Making under Uncertainty: When Can a Random Decision Reduce Risk? Wiesemann, Wolfram
Description
Consider an Ellsberg experiment in which one can win by calling the color (red or blue) of the ball that will be drawn from an urn in which the balls are of unknown proportions. It is well known (yet rarely advertised) that selecting the color based on a fair sided coin completely eradicates the ambiguity about the odds of winning. In this talk, we explore what are conditions under which a decision maker that employs a risk measure should have his action depend on the outcome of an independent random device. Surprisingly, we show that for any ambiguity averse risk measure there always exists a decision problem in which a randomized decision strictly dominates all deterministic decisions. This is joint work with Erick Delage and Daniel Kuhn.
Item Metadata
Title |
"Dice"-sion Making under Uncertainty: When Can a Random Decision Reduce Risk?
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Creator | |
Publisher |
Banff International Research Station for Mathematical Innovation and Discovery
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Date Issued |
2018-03-09T09:02
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Description |
Consider an Ellsberg experiment in which one can win by calling the color (red or blue) of the ball that will be drawn from an urn in which the balls are of unknown proportions. It is well known (yet rarely advertised) that selecting the color based on a fair sided coin completely eradicates the ambiguity about the odds of winning. In this talk, we explore what are conditions under which a decision maker that employs a risk measure should have his action depend on the outcome of an independent random device. Surprisingly, we show that for any ambiguity averse risk measure there always exists a decision problem in which a randomized decision strictly dominates all deterministic decisions. This is joint work with Erick Delage and Daniel Kuhn.
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Extent |
40 minutes
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Subject | |
Type | |
File Format |
video/mp4
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Language |
eng
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Notes |
Author affiliation: Imperial College London
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Series | |
Date Available |
2018-09-06
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Provider |
Vancouver : University of British Columbia Library
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Rights |
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
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DOI |
10.14288/1.0371934
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URI | |
Affiliation | |
Peer Review Status |
Unreviewed
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Scholarly Level |
Faculty
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Rights URI | |
Aggregated Source Repository |
DSpace
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Item Media
Item Citations and Data
Rights
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International